Rank your buying signals in three tiers

Sort what you could watch into pain now, growth moments and fit, decide how fast you act on each, and drop the noise.

By Angelo Natale1.5 hoursOnce, then after every 20 to 30 closed deals

What it does

Timing beats volume. The right message when a buyer is ready beats a thousand early ones. A signal is anything that tells you a company is about to be in market: a job post, a new leader, a funding round, a public complaint. This playbook turns a long list of possible signals into three tiers, with how you catch each one and how fast you act on it.

What you need

  • What happened before your best deals (see find the signals behind your wins)
  • A database that tracks job posts, funding and job changes, like Apollo, Clay or Instantly’s lead finder
  • A spreadsheet, or the free template on this page

How it works

  1. List every signal you could watch

    Start with your own wins. Then add the usual ones: new funding, a hire for a role your product supports, a new leader in the buyer’s seat, a change in their tools, visits to your pricing page, engagement with your posts or a competitor’s, trouble at a competitor, and a lost deal whose reason has changed. Then the ones most people miss: “can anyone recommend a tool for X?” posts on LinkedIn, Reddit or Slack groups, past champions who change jobs, and job posts that name a competitor or the manual process you replace.

  2. Sort them into three tiers

    • Tier 1, the pain is happening now. They’re hiring for the job your product does, a hire for it just left, they say the problem out loud, they ask for recommendations, they drop a competitor, or they engage with you.
    • Tier 2, a growth moment that creates pressure. New funding, a new leader in the buyer’s seat, a milestone, a launch or a new segment. Launches on their own are too common to act on.
    • Tier 3, fit and warmth. The right tools already in place, a past champion at a new company, a lost deal whose reason has changed. Use these to rank, and as a warm way in.
  3. Decide how fast you act on each

    SignalTierAct within
    Asks publicly for a recommendation124 hours
    Posts about the problem148 hours
    Hiring for the job your product does1A week
    A hire for that job just left, or the role is reposted1Two weeks
    New funding2Two to four weeks after
    A new leader in the buyer’s seat2Two to four weeks after they start
    A past champion at a new company3A few weeks into their new job

    Speed pays most in tier 1. In a Harvard Business Review study of inbound leads, companies that responded within an hour were nearly seven times as likely to qualify the lead as those that waited longer (2011). Tier 2 moments take a few weeks to turn into a project, so time those instead of rushing them.

  4. Stack them

    One signal is a hint. Two is a reason. A company that fits your aim, with a tier 1 signal plus one more of any tier in the last 30 days, goes on the short list you work by hand every week. Everyone else stays in your long-term campaign until a signal fires.

  5. Leave out the noise

    Generic third-party intent topics, single visits from unknown companies, “congrats on the round” messages, and launches on their own. They’re noisy, and they burn goodwill.

  6. Open with the reason, then re-rank

    When a signal fires, the message opens with why it’s being sent now, in one line, and asks one question. After 20 to 30 closed deals, check which signals they actually had, and move signals up or down the tiers.

Free template

The signal sheet

Your signal list, started with the examples from this page, and a weekly short list that flags each company with two signals stacked in the last 30 days. Plus the noise to leave out, and the prompt that digs through your last 20 wins.

Excel sheet, opens in Google Sheets.

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What good looks like

A one-page signal list that says how you catch each signal and how fast you act, and a short list every week of companies with two signals stacked. Your first lines write themselves, because each one starts with the reason.

An example, not a client story. A company sells scheduling software to logistics companies. Of its last 20 wins, 11 had posted a job for a dispatcher or scheduler in the two months before the first call, and 6 had a new head of operations. So hiring a dispatcher goes in tier 1: they’re trying to hire their way around the problem. A new head of operations goes in tier 2. A logistics company that posts a dispatcher job in the same month a new head of operations starts goes on this week’s hand-worked list, and the first line of the email mentions the job post.

Mistakes to skip

  • Treating every signal as a trigger. On its own, one signal is mostly noise. Stack them.
  • Acting on tier 1 a week late. Someone asking for a recommendation today has a shortlist by Friday.
  • Congratulating people on their funding. Everyone does it, and it says nothing about them.
  • Never re-ranking. Check which signals your closed deals actually had, and move them up or down.

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